Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.596825 0.684920 0.780829 0.892906 1.020193 1.160168 1.325678
2025-01-05 0.443926 0.557821 0.692640 0.863629 1.074337 1.325105 1.645804
2025-01-12 0.349212 0.477070 0.640492 0.863799 1.160030 1.538452 2.057381
2025-01-19 0.269633 0.398493 0.575462 0.834644 1.202675 1.704333 2.437399
2025-01-26 0.226983 0.360572 0.556482 0.862055 1.323424 1.989954 3.020705
2025-02-02 0.196729 0.334146 0.548262 0.902112 1.467143 2.327632 3.728122
2025-02-09 0.165830 0.300176 0.521873 0.908767 1.559837 2.601276 4.378573
2025-02-16 0.139872 0.268929 0.493753 0.906702 1.636521 2.858453 5.037313
2025-02-23 0.119521 0.243292 0.470202 0.907478 1.716455 3.129592 5.753809
2025-03-02 0.102666 0.220669 0.447756 0.905706 1.790212 3.397935 6.498894
2025-03-09 0.090746 0.205293 0.435986 0.921361 1.897127 3.737213 7.412735
2025-03-16 0.078445 0.186596 0.414295 0.913550 1.956903 3.995552 8.207077
2025-03-23 0.070158 0.175222 0.406146 0.933037 2.075958 4.386385 9.315191
2025-03-30 0.060599 0.158980 0.384773 0.920921 2.127979 4.651928 10.210447
2025-04-06 0.054156 0.148852 0.375243 0.933359 2.234418 5.042111 11.411551
2025-04-13 0.046452 0.133893 0.351803 0.909825 2.257234 5.258730 12.273395
2025-04-20 0.043022 0.129419 0.352890 0.944919 2.419899 5.799397 13.908082
2025-04-27 0.040515 0.126951 0.358577 0.992297 2.618567 6.444919 15.855809
2025-05-04 0.036574 0.119528 0.350069 1.002011 2.726439 6.895023 17.408991
2025-05-11 0.032708 0.111462 0.338372 1.001335 2.807944 7.292756 18.886674
2025-05-18 0.029417 0.104420 0.328247 1.003231 2.896345 7.717796 20.481094
2025-05-25 0.026421 0.097639 0.317631 1.001965 2.976100 8.130974 22.095314
2025-06-01 0.024324 0.093380 0.313766 1.019653 3.110512 8.699296 24.168989